Match Info

National League Women - Round 20

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Sligo Rovers		Treaty United

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.50	2.15
	2.8	3.35	2.12
	2.95	3.35	2.11
	2.93	3.47	2.16	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.06
	3.02	3.81	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (1.93)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	2.13 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sligo Rovers
31.3%

Draw
26.3%

Treaty United
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

24%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sligo Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sligo Rovers's form might have worsened.

Treaty United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Treaty United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sligo Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Treaty United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sligo Rovers - Treaty United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Dunaway G. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Oliphant E. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 5th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Sligo Rovers has recorded 1 win, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:15 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sligo Rovers against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 1.6:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sligo Rovers W	20	8	7	5	35:28	7	31
7	Treaty Utd W	20	8	6	6	25:18	7	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sligo Rovers Women
Irish National League Women
19.09.26	Wexford Youths - Sligo Rovers	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Sligo Rovers - Shelbourne	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Cork City - Sligo Rovers	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Sligo Rovers - Waterford	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Athlone Town - Sligo Rovers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWLL
- Treaty United WFC
Irish National League Women
19.09.26	Treaty United - Peamount United	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Treaty United - Athlone Town	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Galway United - Treaty United	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Treaty United - Bohemians Dublin	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Wexford Youths - Treaty United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Irish National League Women
27.06.26	Treaty United - Sligo Rovers	1:1
06.09.25	Sligo Rovers - Treaty United	2:2
12.04.25	Treaty United - Sligo Rovers	3:0
18.08.24	Sligo Rovers - Treaty United	1:2
13.04.24	Treaty United - Sligo Rovers	0:0
03.06.23	Treaty United - Sligo Rovers	3:3
25.03.23	Sligo Rovers - Treaty United	1:2

Sligo Rovers - Treaty United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide