Match Info

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: WWIN Liga BiH - Round 9

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion Tusanj (Tuzla)

Referee: Martinovic J. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV


	Sloboda Tuzla		Sloga Doboj

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	2.6
	2.75	2.9	2.7
	2.63	2.75	2.62
	2.69	2.89	2.69	Watch
	3.6	3.25	1.91
	2.63	3.08	2.6
	2.75	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.37)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	2.55 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sloboda Tuzla
32.8%

Draw
31.2%

Sloga Doboj
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.2%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

30.2%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sloboda Tuzla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sloboda Tuzla's form might have worsened.

Sloga Doboj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sloga Doboj's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloboda Tuzla than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sloboda Tuzla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sloga Doboj than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sloga Doboj, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Sloboda Tuzla - Sloga Doboj Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sloboda Tuzla will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Sloga Doboj will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sloboda Tuzla: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Muminovic A. (G) 20. Cajic A. 9. Cvijanovic O. 55. Delimedjac M. 19. Hadzibeganovic H. 4. Hasanbegovic E. 6. Hasanovic H. 8. Husejinovic S. (C) 30. Mekic F. 29. Osmankovic K. 10. Tallison	25. Pavlovic B. (G) 3. Dadic F. 92. Jovic T. 28. Milanovic M. (C) 44. Milicevic D. 77. Milosavljevic S. 22. Popara D. 15. Ristic D. 93. Varga B. 20. Veselinovic M. 99. Vidic D.
Substitutes
3. Bratovcic D. 44. Dubackic D. 22. Hrvanovic A. 16. Janketic V. 46. Jovasevic M. 23. Komiya T. 15. Kunic P. 14. Kurtalic A. 7. Sero N. 1. Trako E. (G) 77. Zlibanovic M.	9. Barbaric J. 24. Batar B. 13. Djekic S. 70. Dokic N. 1. Eric F. (G) 29. Guchmazov I. (G) 33. Kvesic J. 11. Mrkaic M. 21. Perkovic V. 30. Zilic A. (G)
Coaches
Maksimovic M.	Jagodic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Jovic T. ⚽,
21', Delimedjac M. ↓, Kurtalic A. ↑,
33', Hasanbegovic E. 🟨,
45+1', Hadzibeganovic H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Ristic D. 🟨,
61', Hasanovic H. ↓, Jovasevic M. ↑,
63', Pavlovic B. 🟨,
67', Vidic D. ↓, Mrkaic M. ↑,
69', Mekic F. ↓, Kunic P. ↑,
69', Cvijanovic O. ↓, Hrvanovic A. ↑,
69', Husejinovic S. ↓, Sero N. ↑,
76', Veselinovic M. ↓, Djekic S. ↑,
77', Cajic A. 🟨,
80', 0 - 2, Jovic T. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 3, Djekic S. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Sloboda Tuzla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sloga Doboj is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sloga Doboj could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sloga Doboj will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sloboda Tuzla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sloboda Tuzla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sloboda Tuzla
Bosnian Premier League
24.09.24	Radnik Bijeljina - Sloboda Tuzla	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Igman Konjic - Sloboda Tuzla	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Sloboda Tuzla - Velež Mostar	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Široki Brijeg - Sloboda Tuzla	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Sloboda Tuzla - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTTL
- FK Sloga Doboj
Bosnian Premier League
25.09.24	Sloga Doboj - Igman Konjic	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Velež Mostar - Sloga Doboj	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Sloga Doboj - Široki Brijeg	1:0 ✺
11.09.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Sloga Doboj	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sloga Doboj	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
22.04.23	Sloboda Tuzla - Sloga Doboj	0:1
25.02.23	Sloga Doboj - Sloboda Tuzla	2:2
Bosnian Cup
19.02.23	Sloboda Tuzla - Sloga Doboj	1:2 penalties
Bosnian Premier League
03.09.22	Sloboda Tuzla - Sloga Doboj	4:2

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