Match Info

Date: 25 January 2022, Tuesday


	Slough Town		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.3
	1.9	3.45	3.4
	1.89	3.55	3.45
	1.87	3.79	3.75
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.82	3.72	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.78)	3.54 ↓ (3.63)	3.58 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
48.7%

Draw
25.8%

Billericay Town
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

25.1%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

16.2%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slough Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Billericay Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Slough Town - Billericay Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Slough is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Billericay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Slough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Slough will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Slough won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Slough won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English FA Trophy
15.01.22	York City - Slough Town	1:0 ✺
English National League South
08.01.22	Chippenham Town - Slough Town	6:1 ✺
02.01.22	Slough Town - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
28.12.21	Slough Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	4:1 ✺
26.12.21	Oxford City - Slough Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTWL
- Billericay Town
English National League South
22.01.22	Billericay Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
15.01.22	Oxford City - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
08.01.22	Billericay Town - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
02.01.22	Concord Rangers - Billericay Town	0:0 ✺
28.12.21	Ebbsfleet United - Billericay Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.10.21	Billericay Town - Slough Town	2:1
14.11.20	Billericay Town - Slough Town	2:0
11.01.20	Billericay Town - Slough Town	2:2
12.10.19	Slough Town - Billericay Town	3:1
16.03.19	Slough Town - Billericay Town	2:1
29.01.19	Billericay Town - Slough Town	3:2

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