Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Tehelné pole (Bratislava)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	STVR Sport, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Slovan Bratislava		Zrinjski Mostar

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.52	4.2	5.75	Watch
	1.55	4.15	5.4	Watch
	1.54	4.2	6.21
				Watch
	1.53	3.8	6
	1.56	4.13	6.25	Watch
	1.67	3.35	4.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)	3.96 ↑ (3.52)	5.66 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovan Bratislava
59.9%

Draw
23.6%

Zrinjski Mostar
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

30.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovan Bratislava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slovan Bratislava's performance.

Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	10%	2.5%

Slovan Bratislava - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Slovan Bratislava (1.90) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Slovan Bratislava (1.19) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5, 2nd Half - Zrinjski (4.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Zrinjski (13.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Zrinjski (3.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Zrinjski (5.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Zrinjski (5.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Zrinjski (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 2nd Half - Zrinjski (3.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Zrinjski (3.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75, 1st Half - Zrinjski (9.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Slovan Bratislava will win (35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Slovan Bratislava will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovan Bratislava (votes: 22 - 59.5%). Zrinjski (votes: 14 - 37.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Takac D. (G) 28. Blackman C. 4. Kashia G. 12. Bajric K. 23. Zuberu S. 3. Pokorny P. 5. Ibrahim R. 11. Barseghyan T. 10. Tolic M. 7. Weiss V. jr. (C) 13. Strelec D.	18. Karacic G. (G) 16. Susic M. 5. Masic I. 55. Dujmovic D. 50. Memija K. 23. Surdanovic S. 21. Savic I. 77. Abramovic K. 20. Ivancic A. 22. Pranjic J. 99. Bilbija N. (C)
Substitutes
57. Cruz S. 77. Ignatenko D. 9. Kukharevych M. 26. Lichy F. 44. Macik M. (G) 21. Mak R. 18. Marcelli N. 20. Mustafic A. 97. Ofori K. 88. Savvidis K. 31. Trnovsky M. (G) 14. Yirajang A.	42. Cavar M. 3. Filipovic B. 10. Kis T. 40. Ljubic M. (G) 90. Majic T. 12. Mamic P. 9. Mikic L. 8. Sikanjic M. 44. Sunjic T. 17. Susak A. 1. Sutkovic A. (G)
Coaches
Weiss V. sr.	Ivankovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', Barseghyan T. 🟨,
22', Zuberu S. 🟨,
34', Zuberu S. ↓, Cruz S. ↑,
39', Bilbija N. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Barseghyan T. ⚽, Cruz S. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Strelec D. ⚽, Ibrahim R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Dujmovic D. 🟨,
62', 3 - 0, Tolic M. ⚽, Barseghyan T. (A),
65', Abramovic K. ↓, Mikic L. ↑,
66', Ivancic A. ↓, Cavar M. ↑,
69', Memija K. 🟨,
73', Memija K. ↓, Mamic P. ↑,
75', Weiss V. jr. ↓, Mak R. ↑,
82', Ibrahim R. 🟨,
86', Strelec D. ↓, Kukharevych M. ↑,
86', Barseghyan T. ↓, Marcelli N. ↑,
86', Ibrahim R. ↓, Mustafic A. ↑,
89', Bilbija N. ↓, Sikanjic M. ↑,
89', Pranjic J. ↓, Filipovic B. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 0, Kukharevych M. ⚽, Marcelli N. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Slovan Bratislava is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zrinjski has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Slovan Bratislava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Slovan Bratislava is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Slovan Bratislava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Slovan Bratislava won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slovan Bratislava
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Midtjylland	1:4 ✺
08.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
01.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Dukla Banská Bystrica	4:1 ✺
27.06.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Slovan Bratislava	1:1 ✺
23.06.25	CFR Cluj - Slovan Bratislava	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWTL
- Zrinjski Mostar
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Virtus	2:1 ✺
08.07.25	Virtus - Zrinjski Mostar	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:2 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
30.05.25	GOŠK Gabela - Zrinjski Mostar	3:2 ✺
25.05.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Igman Konjic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
01.08.23	Slovan Bratislava - Zrinjski Mostar	2:2
25.07.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Slovan Bratislava	0:1
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.08.22	Slovan Bratislava - Zrinjski Mostar	3:1 penalties
18.08.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Slovan Bratislava	1:0

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