Match Info

2. SNL - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	NZS


	Slovan Ljubljana		Brežice

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.30	2.65
	1.88	3.40	3.30
	2.40	3.34	2.59
	2.40	3.55	2.70	Watch
	2.30	3.30	2.55
	2.32	3.32	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.89)	3.37 ↓ (3.49)	2.73 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovan Ljubljana
40%

Draw
26.8%

Brežice
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

25.7%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

24.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovan Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slovan Ljubljana's form might have worsened.

Brežice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brežice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slovan Ljubljana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brežice than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brežice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Slovan Ljubljana - Brežice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 11th and 16th in the Relegation).

In recent outings, Slovan has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Brežice has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Brežice could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Slovan holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Slovan Ljubljana	9	5	1	3	13:15	-2	16
16	Brezice	9	0	2	7	8:18	-10	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
20.09.26	Triglav - Slovan Ljubljana	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Vrhnika	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Bilje - Slovan Ljubljana	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Krka - Slovan Ljubljana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTLWW
- NK Brežice
Slovenian 2 SNL
19.09.26	Brežice - Rudar Velenje	3:4 ✺
16.09.26	Triglav - Brežice	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	Bistrica - Brežice	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Brežice - Dravinja	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Tabor Sežana - Brežice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

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