Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Smedby		Motala

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.75
	4.1	3.35	1.7
	4.3	3.57	1.72
	3.7	4.2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (2.12)	3.63 ↑ (3.54)	1.73 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smedby
22.6%

Draw
24.9%

Motala
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.6%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

19.2%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smedby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smedby's form might have worsened.

Motala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motala's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smedby than the current prediction. (+34.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smedby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motala than the current prediction. (-28.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Smedby - Motala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Smedby is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Motala in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Motala will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Smedby won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Smedby won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Smedby AIS
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
13.11.21	Syrianska - Smedby	1:3 ✺
06.11.21	Smedby - Eskilstuna City	0:0 ✺
23.10.21	Smedby - IFK Eskilstuna	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Smedby - Arameiska-Syrianska Botkyrka	4:1 ✺
09.10.21	Värmbols - Smedby	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTTWW
- Motala AIF FK
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
13.11.21	Motala - Värmbols	5:0 ✺
06.11.21	Trosa Vagnhärad - Motala	1:2 ✺
30.10.21	Eskilstuna City - Motala	2:4 ✺
23.10.21	Motala - Arameiska-Syrianska Botkyrka	6:1 ✺
16.10.21	Huddinge - Motala	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
11.09.21	Motala - Smedby	3:0
23.07.16	Motala - Smedby	3:1
18.04.16	Smedby - Motala	1:1

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