The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Smouha 40.3%
Draw 36.3%
Ghazl El Mahalla 23.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.9%
35.7%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
29.4%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Ghazl El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Smouha that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Smouha - Ghazl El Mahalla Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Mayhoub A. (G) 30. Gamal A. 24. Ragab M. 21. Mohamed A. 3. Desouki M. 8. Fekri S. 11. Farouk M. 66. Mohamed K. 10. El Ghandour K. 14. Makarona (C) 20. Badji P.
16. Amer A. (G) 23. Nechat F. 3. El Aash A. 4. Shousha A. 12. Zakaria Y. 20. Toure M. 17. Shika A. 7. Ashraf M. 8. Abdelsalam M. 14. Emad A. 63. Yehia A. (C)
Substitutes
19. Adel M. 27. Balaha H. 29. Chukwudi G. 17. El Nadry A. 23. Farid F. 13. Niyigena C. 15. Samadou A. 22. Samiae M. 1. Taimour H. (G)
9. Arfaoui R. 11. Ekbad M. 22. Etman A. 15. Gamal A. 30. Gomaa A. 25. Koko (G) 5. Sheta A. 10. Walid B. 44. Yasser A.
Coaches
Abdelaziz A.
Galal K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Badji P. ⚽, El Ghandour K. (A),
45', Badji P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Emad A. ↓, Ekbad M. ↑,
46', Abdelsalam M. ↓, Yasser A. ↑,
46', Ragab M. 🟨,
61', Farouk M. ↓, Samadou A. ↑,
61', Badji P. ↓, Farid F. ↑,
61', Makarona ↓, Chukwudi G. ↑,
63', Yehia A. ↓, Gomaa A. ↑,
72', Ashraf M. ↓, Arfaoui R. ↑,
76', Gamal A. ↓, Adel M. ↑,
84', Arfaoui R. 🟨,
85', El Ghandour K. ↓, Niyigena C. ↑,
85', Shika A. ↓, Etman A. ↑,
90+4', Mohamed K. 🟨,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 20th in the Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 2.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Ghazl El Mahalla may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Smouha holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Smouha has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:12 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Smouha against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 17:9 goals (averaging 2.1:1.1 per game).