Match Info

Youth League - Round 30

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Sochi U19		Nizhny Novgorod U19

	1	X	2
	2.44	3	2.72
	2.4	2.9	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.3)	2.95 ↓ (3.5)	2.72 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi U19
36.9%

Draw
30.3%

Nizhny Novgorod U19
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

25.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Nizhny Novgorod U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi U19 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod U19 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Sochi U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, Chuprunov D. (Pen),
80', 1 - 1, Salasin P. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Youth League (Relegation) and 9).

Sochi U19 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nizhny Novgorod U19 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sochi U19 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sochi U19 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi U19
Russian Youth League
07.11.25	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Sochi U19	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Sochi U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	1:3 ✺
24.10.25	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - Sochi U19	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Sochi U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	1:3 ✺
03.10.25	Konoplev Academy U19 - Sochi U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL
- FC Nizhny Novgorod U19
Russian Youth League
07.11.25	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Baltika U19	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Rubin Kazan U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Krylya Sovetov Samara U19	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	CSKA Moscow U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
11.07.25	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Sochi U19	1:1
29.09.23	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Sochi U19	0:1
12.05.23	Sochi U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	4:5
07.04.23	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Sochi U19	0:1

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