Match Info

3. CFL - Group B - Round 22

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Živanice (Živanice)


	Sokol Živanice		Arsenal Česká Lípa

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	3.1	3.5	2.04
	3.17	3.45	2.07	Watch
	3.09	3.7	2.06
	3.1	3.5	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.5)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	2.05 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokol Živanice
29.7%

Draw
26%

Arsenal Česká Lípa
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

24.7%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokol Živanice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sokol Živanice's form might have worsened.

Arsenal Česká Lípa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal Česká Lípa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Živanice than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sokol Živanice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Česká Lípa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal Česká Lípa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sokol Živanice - Arsenal Česká Lípa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Berkovec M. (G) 16. Chima D. 10. Chocholaty S. (C) 14. Dufek J. 5. Hanzelka D. 6. Koffi B. 18. Machacek D. 12. Palan J. 4. Petran M. 20. Svoboda T. 15. Vacha D.	1. Novak R. (G) 12. Hajdo D. 10. Kazda M. 77. Knejzlik K. 18. Kopriva J. 24. Nemsovsky A. 22. Novotny J. 19. Simon M. (C) 15. Skoda J. 17. Usman H. 8. Vit M.
Substitutes
9. Burianek M. 11. Holec M. 17. Panek D. 2. Svoboda M. 21. Tlapak P. 19. Uduebo V. 40. Zima S. (G)	2. Jandac L. 13. Kmet M. 33. Kral M. (G) 21. Kriz V. 16. Petrous A. 4. Romagnoli L. 26. Zizka M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Novotny J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Nemsovsky A. 🟨,
64', Tlapak P. 🟨,
65', Chima C. ↓, Uduebo V. ↑,
70', Usman H. ↓, Zizka M. ↑,
79', Kazda M. ↓, Kriz V. ↑,
79', Skoda J. 🟨,
80', Vacha D. ↓, Panek D. ↑,
81', Simon M. 🟨,
84', Burianek M. 🟨,
84', Palan J. 🟨,
86', Berkovec M. 🟨,
90+2', Novotny J. ↓, Jandac L. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Sokol Živanice has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Česká Lípa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Česká Lípa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sokol Živanice won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sokol Živanice won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokol Živanice
Czech CFL Group B
30.03.25	Hradec Kralove B - Sokol Živanice	4:2 ✺
22.03.25	Sokol Živanice - Jablonec B	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Slovan Liberec B - Sokol Živanice	4:0 ✺
08.03.25	Sparta Kolín - Sokol Živanice	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Sokol Živanice - Ústí nad Labem	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL
- Arsenal Česká Lípa
Czech CFL Group B
29.03.25	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Chlumec nad Cidlinou	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Baník Most-Souš - Arsenal Česká Lípa	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Ústí nad Labem	1:3 ✺
09.03.25	Zápy - Arsenal Česká Lípa	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Teplice B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech CFL Group B
07.09.24	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Sokol Živanice	3:1
27.04.24	Sokol Živanice - Arsenal Česká Lípa	0:2
30.09.23	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Sokol Živanice	2:1

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