Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 3

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday


	Sol de América de Formosa		Atenas Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.55	3.3	6.5
	1.54	3.3	6.23
	1.55	3.42	6.22
	1.55	3.3	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.38)	3.34 ↓ (3.9)	6.09 ↓ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de América de Formosa
58.1%

Draw
27.1%

Atenas Río Cuarto
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

23.1%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

22.9%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de América de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sol de América de Formosa's form might have worsened.

Atenas Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sol de América de Formosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Sol de América de Formosa - Atenas Río Cuarto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Nunez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 1, Di Martino B. (Pen),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sol de América could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sol de América is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sol de América de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.07.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Sol de América de Formosa - General San Martín de Formosa	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	Juventud Antoniana - Sol de América de Formosa	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	3:1 ✺
23.06.24	Unión de Sunchales - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWWT
- Atenas Río Cuarto
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.07.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Huracán Las Heras - Atenas Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
07.07.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Juventud Unida Universitario - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLLWW

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