Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Somozas		Barbadás

	1	X	2
	2.21	2.92	3.43
	2.2	2.9	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.19)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)	3.39 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somozas
41.5%

Draw
31.5%

Barbadás
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

31.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Somozas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (-1%)

Somozas - Barbadás Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Lucas ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, Cambon J. ⚽,
90', 3 - 0, Fernandez M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Somozas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barbadás has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Somozas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Somozas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.10.25	Alondras - Somozas	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Somozas - Lugo B	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Gran Peña - Somozas	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Somozas - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Céltiga - Somozas	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTWL
- UD Barbadás
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.10.25	Barbadás - Montañeros	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Arosa - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Barbadás - Atlético Arteixo	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Noia - Barbadás	4:1 ✺
14.09.25	Barbadás - RC Villalbes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.05.25	Barbadás - Somozas	1:0
11.01.25	Somozas - Barbadás	4:1
24.03.24	Somozas - Barbadás	0:0
05.11.23	Barbadás - Somozas	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.02.18	Somozas - Barbadás	0:0

Somozas - Barbadás: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide