The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sona 38.5%
Draw 29.5%
Franciacorta 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
29.5%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
31%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Sona have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Franciacorta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sona than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franciacorta than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs)).
Sona is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Franciacorta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Franciacorta have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Sona won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Sona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.