Match Info

3. Liga - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: WIRmachenDRUCK Arena (Aspach) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lotz M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Germany	14:00	Magenta Sport
International	12:00	OneFootball TV


	Sonnenhof Großaspach		Waldhof Mannheim

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.75	2.75
	2.25	3.55	2.72	Watch
	2.35	3.95	2.93
	2.24	3.87	2.74	Watch
	2.25	3.55	2.9
	2.16	3.68	2.7	Watch
	2.28	3.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.38)	3.69 ↓ (3.73)	2.77 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonnenhof Großaspach
41.3%

Draw
25.1%

Waldhof Mannheim
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

24.9%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonnenhof Großaspach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Waldhof Mannheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonnenhof Großaspach than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Sonnenhof Großaspach - Waldhof Mannheim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reule M. (G) 8. Rahn E. 15. Aidonis A. 25. Nuraj A. 20. Maier L. 21. Molinari L. 16. Kunde M. 11. Rossmann T. 5. Celiktas V. (C) 18. Pollex N. 23. Eisele F.	1. Nijhuis T. (G) 24. Klunter L. (C) 3. Polte M. 14. Ogbemudia O. 17. Keumo D. 8. Thalhammer M. 21. Rieckmann J. 28. Michel D. 7. Bierschenk L. 11. Masca 9. Gregorio G.
Substitutes
4. Bleicher F. 36. Gashi M. 22. Landwehr B. 27. Maier L. 6. Mistl C. 33. Schulz T. (G) 10. Stoppel L. 19. Uhl M. 13. Zografakis N.	37. Bazee N. 13. Boyd T. 15. Kammerknecht C. 23. Mickels L. 29. Muteba N. 16. Niemann J. (G) 25. Okeke J. 4. Sechelmann T. 10. Ulbricht J.
Coaches
Reinhardt P.	Mota R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', Keumo D. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Molinari L. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Bierschenk L. ⚽, Gregorio G. (A),
15', Bierschenk L. 🟨,
26', 1 - 2, Ogbemudia O. ⚽, Klunter L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Nuraj A. ↓, Stoppel L. ↑,
61', Thalhammer M. 🟨,
64', Bierschenk L. ↓, Muteba N. ↑,
64', Masca ↓, Bazee N. ↑,
64', Michel D. ↓, Okeke J. ↑,
64', Gregorio G. ↓, Ulbricht J. ↑,
66', Eisele F. 🟨,
68', Eisele F. ↓, Bleicher F. ↑,
68', Rossmann T. ↓, Maier L. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Muteba N. ⚽, Thalhammer M. (A),
79', 1 - 4, Muteba N. ⚽, Rieckmann J. (A),
82', Molinari L. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
82', Aidonis A. ↓, Zografakis N. ↑,
83', Keumo D. ↓, Mickels L. ↑,
88', 1 - 5, Ulbricht J. ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 13th and 9th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Waldhof may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Waldhof has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Großaspach has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 1.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Großaspach against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Mannheim	11	5	1	5	20:17	3	16
16	Grossaspach	11	3	3	5	13:25	-12	12

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Mannheim: 1.31%

Last Results with these Odds

Waldhof Mannheim - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.03%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonnenhof Großaspach
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Kaiserslautern - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Saarbrücken - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Verl	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	TSV Havelse - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Hoffenheim II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLTTW
- Waldhof Mannheim
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Mainz	0:3
German 3 Bundesliga
20.09.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Preußen Münster	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Waldhof Mannheim	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Verl	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.06.20	Waldhof Mannheim - Sonnenhof Großaspach	3:2
09.11.19	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Waldhof Mannheim	0:3
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.11.13	Waldhof Mannheim - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:3
04.08.13	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1
10.03.13	Waldhof Mannheim - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2

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