Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Süd - Round 14

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Sonthofen		TSV Kottern

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.65	2.33
	2.61	3.55	2.35
	2.63	3.57	2.34
	2.55	3.56	2.29
	2.5	3.65	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.87)	3.6 ↑ (3.46)	2.33 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonthofen
35.6%

Draw
25.3%

TSV Kottern
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

26.3%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.5%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonthofen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

TSV Kottern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonthofen than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Kottern than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Schad M. 🟨,
36', Yazir S. 🟥,
45+1', 1 - 0, Lutz F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 2 - 0, Hindelang A. ⚽,
50', 2 - 1, Dusch K. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Barbera M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sonthofen won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kottern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kottern will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sonthofen won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:19 (average 1.7:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Sonthofen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Sonthofen
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
27.09.24	Erlbach - Sonthofen	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Sonthofen - 1860 München II	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Ismaning - Sonthofen	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Sonthofen - Heimstetten	4:2 ✺
30.08.24	Grünwald - Sonthofen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLWL
- TSV Kottern
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
21.09.24	Nördlingen - TSV Kottern	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	TSV Kottern - Deisenhofen	1:3 ✺
30.08.24	TSV Kottern - Memmingen	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	TSV Kottern - Landsberg	3:1 ✺
16.08.24	Erlbach - TSV Kottern	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
01.11.23	Sonthofen - TSV Kottern	1:1
09.08.23	TSV Kottern - Sonthofen	3:2
20.04.19	TSV Kottern - Sonthofen	1:1
21.09.18	Sonthofen - TSV Kottern	3:1
18.04.18	TSV Kottern - Sonthofen	2:1
23.08.17	Sonthofen - TSV Kottern	0:2
13.05.17	Sonthofen - TSV Kottern	2:2

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