Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Sorrento		Città di Fasano

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	2.6	2.95	2.55
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.49	3.14	2.47
	2.6	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.34)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.51 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
35.4%

Draw
29.1%

Città di Fasano
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

20.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sorrento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Città di Fasano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sorrento - Città di Fasano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Città di Fasano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sorrento won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sorrento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.11.21	Nola - Sorrento	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Sorrento - Gladiator	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
31.10.21	Sorrento - San Giorgio	3:1 ✺
24.10.21	Molfetta - Sorrento	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Sorrento - Nocerina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWTT
- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.11.21	Città di Fasano - San Giorgio	0:1 ✺
31.10.21	Città di Brindisi - Città di Fasano	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Città di Fasano - Rotonda	0:1 ✺
20.10.21	Bitonto - Città di Fasano	3:0 ✺
17.10.21	Città di Fasano - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
24.02.21	Sorrento - Città di Fasano	0:4
04.10.20	Città di Fasano - Sorrento	1:1
25.01.20	Città di Fasano - Sorrento	1:2
22.09.19	Sorrento - Città di Fasano	1:0
10.02.19	Sorrento - Città di Fasano	0:1
21.10.18	Città di Fasano - Sorrento	2:1

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