Match Info

NPL Western Australia - Round 19

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)


	Sorrento		Floreat Athena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.75	3.9
	1.75	3.9	3.5	Watch
	1.79	4.09	3.71
	1.22	6.46	10.08	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.8
	1.77	3.84	3.66	Watch
	1.74	3.85	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.64)	4.21 ↑ (4)	4.59 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
56.6%

Draw
22.6%

Floreat Athena
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

22.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

18.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Floreat Athena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sorrento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floreat Athena than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floreat Athena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Sorrento - Floreat Athena Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sorrento will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Floreat Athena will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sorrento: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sorrento (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 2, Mathet A. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Gibbs C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ WA State League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 2.

In recent matches, Sorrento has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Floreat Athena has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Floreat Athena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Floreat Athena has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sorrento is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC Perth
Australian NPL Western Australia
26.07.25	Sorrento - Balcatta	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Stirling Macedonia - Sorrento	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Sorrento - Fremantle City	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Perth SC - Sorrento	1:3 ✺
27.06.25	Perth Glory U23 - Sorrento	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWL
- Floreat Athena FC
Australian NPL Western Australia
26.07.25	Floreat Athena - Stirling Macedonia	2:3 ✺
19.07.25	Fremantle City - Floreat Athena	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Floreat Athena - Perth SC	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Floreat Athena - Perth Glory U23	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Floreat Athena - Olympic Kingsway	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Western Australia
17.05.25	Floreat Athena - Sorrento	0:1
15.07.23	Floreat Athena - Sorrento	2:1
13.05.23	Sorrento - Floreat Athena	3:1
13.08.22	Floreat Athena - Sorrento	3:1
21.05.22	Sorrento - Floreat Athena	1:3
28.08.21	Sorrento - Floreat Athena	1:0
08.05.21	Floreat Athena - Sorrento	2:2

Sorrento - Floreat Athena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide