Match Info

NPL Western Australia - Round 20

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Percy Doyle Reserve (Perth) 🌤️ ...


	Sorrento		Perth RedStar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	4.00	1.55
	5.15	3.95	1.52
	5.59	4.3	1.51
	5.51	4.23	1.53	Watch
	5.55	4.2	1.48
	4.91	4.24	1.58	Watch
	5.2	4.1	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↑ (3.85)	4.15 ↑ (3.5)	1.52 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
17.4%

Draw
22.2%

Perth RedStar
60.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23%

25.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

24.6%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sorrento's form might have worsened.

Perth RedStar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perth RedStar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth RedStar than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perth RedStar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sorrento - Perth RedStar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 1.

Sorrento has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Perth RedStar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Perth RedStar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Perth RedStar is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 1.6:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1.5:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC Perth
Australian NPL Western Australia
11.07.26	Sorrento - Fremantle City	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Western Knights - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Dianella White Eagles - Sorrento	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Sorrento - Armadale	0:3 ✺
13.06.26	Stirling Macedonia - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLLW
- Perth RedStar
Australian NPL Western Australia
25.07.26	Perth RedStar - Balcatta	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Perth RedStar - Fremantle City	0:3 ✺
11.07.26	Olympic Kingsway - Perth RedStar	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Stirling Macedonia - Perth RedStar	0:1 ✺
26.06.26	Bayswater City - Perth RedStar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Western Australia
08.05.26	Perth RedStar - Sorrento	4:1
23.08.25	Perth RedStar - Sorrento	1:0
24.05.25	Sorrento - Perth RedStar	0:1
24.06.23	Perth RedStar - Sorrento	1:2
01.04.23	Sorrento - Perth RedStar	1:7
06.09.22	Perth RedStar - Sorrento	3:2
20.08.22	Sorrento - Perth RedStar	5:2

Sorrento - Perth RedStar