Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	18:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Usa	12:00	SportsEngine Play


	Sorrento		Picerno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.42	2.85	2.95	Watch
	2.69	2.99	2.85
	2.57	2.92	2.81	Watch
	2.55	2.85	2.75
	2.53	2.81	2.76	Watch
	2.42	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.39)	2.9 ↓ (3.01)	2.78 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
35.8%

Draw
31.5%

Picerno
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

30.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Sorrento - Picerno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Harrasser S. (G) 5. Cargnelutti R. 33. Viscardi A. 27. Loreto C. 2. Puzone M. 28. Capezzi L. 8. Cuccurullo M. (C) 21. Potenza A. 3. Crecco L. 19. Bolzan A. 7. Starita E.	33. Marcone R. (G) 4. Bellodi G. 29. Del Fabro D. 26. Bassoli A. 16. Bianchi S. 17. Nocerino L. 92. Scravaglieri M. 30. Gemignani A. 99. Pugliese S. 90. Abreu L. 11. Esposito E. (C)
Substitutes
4. Bacci J. 20. Bernabeo S. 48. Boccarusso J. (G) 23. Cangianiello S. 31. Castaldi G. 13. Del Sorbo L. (G) 26. Di Somma V. 24. Evangelisti N. 11. Falasca M. 6. Fusco F. 99. Marchesi F. 32. Paglino S. 9. Parker S. 10. Ricci F. 18. Tonni M.	72. Coppola G. 22. Cortese S. (G) 44. Franco D. 7. Kanoute M. 10. Maiorino P. 70. Oliviero A. 12. Pecci F. (G) 2. Perri M. 19. Pistolesi F. 23. Rillo F. 15. Tolovan R. 8. Virgilio P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Esposito E. ↓, Kanoute M. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Cargnelutti R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gemignani A. ↓, Pistolesi F. ↑,
46', Bianchi S. ↓, Franco D. ↑,
59', Potenza A. ↓, Cangianiello S. ↑,
60', Bolzan A. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
62', Scravaglieri M. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
70', Parker S. 🟨,
74', Starita E. ↓, Ricci F. ↑,
84', Nocerino L. ↓, Oliviero A. ↑,
85', Crecco L. ↓, Evangelisti N. ↑,
85', Viscardi A. ↓, Falasca M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 0.

Sorrento has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Picerno is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Picerno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sorrento will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	11	6	2	3	15:11	4	20
10	Picerno	11	5	0	6	20:18	2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Sorrento - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.04%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Picerno - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 31.72%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
05.09.26	Giugliano - Sorrento	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Sorrento - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
29.08.26	Sorrento - Crotone	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Salernitana - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Giugliano - Sorrento	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 WWWWW
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
07.09.26	Picerno - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Bari - Picerno	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
28.08.26	Scafatese - Picerno	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Picerno - Savoia	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Picerno - Barletta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Picerno - Sorrento	0:0
20.12.25	Sorrento - Picerno	1:1
29.03.25	Picerno - Sorrento	2:0
16.11.24	Sorrento - Picerno	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Picerno - Sorrento	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
11.02.24	Sorrento - Picerno	0:2
01.10.23	Picerno - Sorrento	1:1

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