Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Sortland		Skjervøy

	1	X	2
	2.17	4.33	2.42
	2.3	4.25	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (3.1)	4.29 ↑ (4.22)	2.35 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sortland
40.5%

Draw
21.1%

Skjervøy
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

21.5%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

21.1%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sortland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sortland's performance.

Skjervøy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Skjervøy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sortland than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sortland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skjervøy than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skjervøy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sortland - Skjervøy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Zala D. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Meloe S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 2 - 1, Abelsen M. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Meloe S. ⚽,
90+7', 4 - 1, Abelsen M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Sortland has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Skjervøy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Skjervøy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Skjervøy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sortland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 1.5:5.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sortland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sortland IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
20.09.25	Ulfstind - Sortland	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sortland - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2	3:3 ✺
07.09.25	Ullern - Sortland	4:2 ✺
30.08.25	Sortland - Funnefoss Vormsund	2:4 ✺
24.08.25	Frigg Oslo - Sortland	10:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL
- Skjervøy IK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
21.09.25	Skjervøy - Bærum	3:2 ✺
12.09.25	Fløya - Skjervøy	5:2 ✺
07.09.25	Skjervøy - Junkeren	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2 - Skjervøy	3:3 ✺
24.08.25	Skjervøy - Tromsø 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
13.10.18	Sortland - Skjervøy	1:7
23.06.18	Skjervøy - Sortland	4:2

Sortland - Skjervøy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide