Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 10

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Souf		ES Sétif

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.95	2.37
	2.8	3.1	2.5	Watch
	3.14	2.95	2.52
	3.14	2.92	2.53
	2.8	3	2.38
	3	3.04	2.39
	2.9	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (4.18)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.46 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Souf
31.6%

Draw
30.8%

ES Sétif
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

30.4%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

29.5%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Souf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Souf's performance.

ES Sétif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ES Sétif might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Souf than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Souf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ES Sétif could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Souf - ES Sétif Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 11).

Souf has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches ES Sétif is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ES Sétif will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's ES Sétif to win the game is with odds 2.04.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Souf
Algerian Ligue 1
09.12.23	Souf - Saoura	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	ASO Chlef - Souf	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Souf - MC Alger	3:4 ✺
17.11.23	El Bayadh - Souf	4:0 ✺
10.11.23	Souf - Constantine	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- ES Sétif
Algerian Ligue 1
09.12.23	ES Sétif - Biskra	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Saoura - ES Sétif	0:0 ✺
18.11.23	ASO Chlef - ES Sétif	2:1 ✺
14.11.23	ES Sétif - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	ES Sétif - Kabylie	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLWW

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