Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Honneur Stadium (Oujda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport PSL
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Cote-d-ivoire	RTI 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Morocco	Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV5
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
Thailand	beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Zambia	ZNBC 1


	South Africa W		Senegal W

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.8	5.5
	1.55	3.7	4.95
	1.62	3.7	5.66
	1.59	3.74	5.83	Watch
	1.53	3.7	6
	1.64	3.43	5.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.45)	3.68 ↓ (4.2)	5.65 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Africa W
58.7%

Draw
25%

Senegal W
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.3%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Africa W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Senegal W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Africa W than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Africa W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Senegal W than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

South Africa W - Senegal W Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Dlamini A. (G) Mamelodi Sundowns 5. Magama F. Western Cape University 13. Mbane B. Mamelodi Sundowns 17. Makhubela T. Mamelodi Sundowns 7. Dhlamini K. Mamelodi Sundowns 2. Ramalepe L. Mamelodi Sundowns 10. Motlhalo L. Glasgow City 15. Jane R. (C) 18. Holweni S. Western Cape University 8. Magaia H. Club Tijuana 12. Seoposenwe J. Monterrey	23. Ndiaye A. (G) 3. Dembele A. Medina 5. Ndiaye W. Thonon Evian 4. Fall A. Medina 2. Babou M. Strasbourg 19. Seck B. Medina 20. Fall K. (C) 10. Diakhate N. 9. Ndiaye N. 7. Diop M. Marseille 11. Balde H. Medina
Substitutes
6. Cesane N. Mazatlan FC 3. Gamede B. Nordsjaelland 21. Magagula D. (G) 19. Mhlongo L. Western Cape University 4. Mogolola R. Mamelodi Sundowns 11. Mohlakoana K. Mazembe 22. Motau A. Club Tijuana 14. Mthandi N. Mamelodi Sundowns 9. Salgado G. 1. Swart K. (G)	22. Bassene P. 18. Camara M. 21. Casset N. 17. Diallo H. Juarez 14. Diallo S. Medina 15. Drame F. Medina 1. Faye K. (G) Medina 24. Kande M. Medina 12. Sagna S. 13. Sane A. Medina

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Ndiaye W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Seck B. 🟨,
58', Holweni S. ↓, Motau A. ↑,
66', Fall K. ↓, Drame F. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Motau A. ↓, Mthandi N. ↑,
96', Balde H. ↓, Diallo H. ↑,
105', Ramalepe L. ↓, Salgado G. ↑,
105+1', Motlhalo L. ↓, Gamede B. ↑,
120+2', Seck B. ↓, Kande M. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 1)
1, Dhlamini K. (Pen),
1, Diop M. (Pen),
2, Makhubela T. (Pen),
2, Ndiaye N. (Pen),
3, Salgado G. (Pen),
3, Kande M. (Pen),
4, Mbane B. (Pen),

Preview

South Africa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Senegal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, South Africa is seen as the favorite.

We predict that South Africa will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Africa W
Africa Cup of Nations Women
14.07.25	South Africa W - Mali W	4:0 ✺
11.07.25	Tanzania W - South Africa W	1:1 ✺
07.07.25	South Africa W - Ghana W	2:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
03.06.25	South Africa W - Zambia W	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	South Africa W - Botswana W	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWWW
- Senegal W
Africa Cup of Nations Women
12.07.25	Morocco W - Senegal W	1:0 ✺
09.07.25	Zambia W - Senegal W	3:2 ✺
06.07.25	Senegal W - D.R. Congo W	4:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
01.07.25	Algeria W - Senegal W	0:3 ✺
31.05.25	Sierra Leone W - Senegal W	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
04.06.24	Senegal W - South Africa W	0:2
01.06.24	Senegal W - South Africa W	1:1

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