Match Info

ASIA: World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 4

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Seoul World Cup Stadium (Seoul)

Referee: Lutfullin R. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
India	FanCode, FanCode
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Qatar	Al Kass Five, Shoof
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Coupang Play, TV Chosun
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Vietnam	K+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sport 1 Baltic


	South Korea		Iraq

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	8.5	Watch
	1.49	3.9	7.25
	1.5	3.75	7.5
	1.51	3.7	9.22
	1.52	3.64	7.64	Watch
	1.49	3.9	8	Watch
	1.5	3.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	3.76 ↓ (3.85)	7.94 ↑ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Korea
63%

Draw
25.1%

Iraq
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

24.5%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Korea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Iraq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

South Korea - Iraq Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. South Korea will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Iraq will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for South Korea: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) Ulsan Hyundai 22. Seol Young-Woo Crvena zvezda 14. Cho Yu-Min Al Sharjah 4. Kim Min-Jae (C) Bayern Munich 3. Lee Myung-Jae Ulsan Hyundai 6. Hwang In-Beom Feyenoord 8. Park Yong-Woo Al Ain 18. Lee Kang-In PSG 10. Lee Jae-Sung Mainz 17. Bae J. Stoke City 19. Oh Se-Hun Machida Zelvia	12. Hachim J. (C) Al Zawraa 21. Saadoon M. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 5. Atiyah A. Al Najaf 2. Sulaka R. Schaffhausen 23. Doski M. Slovacko 15. Yahya A. Al Shorta 16. Al-Ammari A. Cracovia 13. Shlimon L. Orebro 8. Bayesh I. Al Riyadh 14. Attwan A. Zakho 18. Hussein A. Al Khor
Substitutes
7. Hong Hyun-Seok Mainz 2. Hwang Mun-Ki Gangwon 9. Joo Min-Kyu Ulsan Hyundai 15. Jung Seung-Hyun Al Wasl 12. Kim J. (G) 16. Kim Ju-Sung Seoul 1. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) Al Shabab 13. Lee Dong-Gyeong Gimcheon Sangmu 20. Lee Seung-Woo Jeonbuk 11. Moon Seon-Min Jeonbuk 23. Oh Hyeon-Gyu Genk 5. Paik Seung-Ho Birmingham	20. Al Hamawi A. Sandviken 3. Ali H. Heerenveen 11. Al-Taay M. Wellington Phoenix 4. Al Tekreeti M. Y. H. Al Shorta 19. Amyn Y. Al Wehda 7. Hadi S. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 22. Hassan H. (G) Al Karkh 17. Jasim A. Como 10. Meme Al Shorta 6. Tahseen Z. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1. Talib F. (G) Sanat Naft 9. Yasin A. Orebro
Coaches
Hong Myung-Bo	Casas Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Park Yong-Woo 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Bae J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Shlimon L. ↓, Jasim A. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Hussein A. ⚽, Attwan A. (A),
59', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
60', Bae J. ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
65', Attwan A. ↓, Al-Taay M. ↑,
71', Saadoon M. 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽, Lee Jae-Sung (A),
79', Saadoon M. ↓, Meme ↑,
79', Hussein A. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
81', Lee Jae-Sung 🟨,
84', 3 - 1, Lee Jae-Sung ⚽, Lee Myung-Jae (A),
85', Park Yong-Woo ↓, Paik Seung-Ho ↑,
85', Lee Kang-In ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
86', Al-Ammari A. ↓, Yasin A. ↑,
87', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Lee Seung-Woo ↑,
90+5', 3 - 2, Sulaka R. ⚽, Jasim A. (A),
90+7', Moon Seon-Min 🟨,
90+7', Atiyah A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match South Korea is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches South Korea won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:0 (average 1.2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Korea
FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Jordan - South Korea	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Oman - South Korea	1:3 ✺
05.09.24	South Korea - Palestine	0:0 ✺
11.06.24	South Korea - China	1:0 ✺
06.06.24	Singapore - South Korea	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTWW
- Iraq
FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Iraq - Palestine	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Kuwait - Iraq	0:0 ✺
05.09.24	Iraq - Oman	1:0 ✺
11.06.24	Iraq - Vietnam	3:1 ✺
06.06.24	Indonesia - Iraq	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
06.01.24	South Korea - Iraq	1:0
FIFA World Cup
16.11.21	Iraq - South Korea	0:3
02.09.21	South Korea - Iraq	0:0
Friendly
07.06.17	Iraq - South Korea	0:0
Asian Cup
26.01.15	South Korea - Iraq	2:0

South Korea - Iraq: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide