Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday

Location: The Snows Stadium (Totton)

Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)


	Southampton U21		Stoke City U21

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.9	2.6
	2.1	4.2	2.6	Watch
	2.12	4.62	2.7
	2.12	4.62	2.52
	2.16	4.05	2.59	Watch
	2.12	4.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.7)	4.28 ↑ (4.22)	2.59 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton U21
43.3%

Draw
21.4%

Stoke City U21
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

21.7%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

20.8%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton U21's performance.

Stoke City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stoke City U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southampton U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stoke City U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Southampton U21 - Stoke City U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McNamara J. (G) 2. Davis S. 3. Awe Z. 4. Lawrence N. 5. Meghoma J. 8. Dibling T. 6. Bragg C. (C) 10. O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 7. Amo-Ameyaw S. 9. Pearce L. 11. Vokins J.	1. Brooks A. (G) 2. Sparrow T. (C) 4. Dixon J. 5. Anderson F. 20. McCarron L. 6. Sidibe S. 7. Jeffers R. 8. Lipsiuc D. 10. Smith W. 11. Jojic N. 9. McGuinness D.
Substitutes
12. Armitage W. 14. Carson M. 16. Djalo U. 15. Ehibhatiomhan P. 13. Upstell H. (G)	13. Brammer R. (G) 12. Curl T. 14. Griffiths J. 15. Kamga I. 16. Singh S.
Coaches
Asghar A.	Morris A.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 14 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: )).

The competitors look crappy now.

S`hampton U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches S`hampton U21 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams S`hampton U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton U21
English Premier League 2
04.03.24	West Bromwich Albion U21 - Southampton U21	1:1 ✺
16.02.24	Arsenal U21 - Southampton U21	4:2 ✺
29.01.24	Leicester City U21 - Southampton U21	1:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
24.01.24	Southampton U21 - Celtic U23	1:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
12.01.24	Southampton U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWLL
- Stoke City U21
English Premier League 2
04.03.24	Stoke City U21 - Crystal Palace U21	1:3 ✺
23.02.24	Aston Villa U21 - Stoke City U21	2:2 ✺
19.02.24	Stoke City U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	4:3 ✺
11.02.24	Liverpool U21 - Stoke City U21	3:1 ✺
26.01.24	West Ham United U21 - Stoke City U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
14.04.23	Southampton U21 - Stoke City U21	2:0
19.08.22	Stoke City U21 - Southampton U21	0:3

Southampton U21 - Stoke City U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide