Match Info

Euro U21 - Round 3

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday

Location: City Arena Trnava (Trnava)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App, Sporty TV
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	Joyn
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Joyn, Ran
Greece	ERT 3, ERT Sports 3
Hungary	M4 Sport
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	RAI 2, RaiPlay
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Voyo
Slovakia	STVR2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	Teledeporte, TVE La 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	4Seven
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
World	VIX App


	Spain U21		Italy U21

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.8
	1.78	3.6	4.2
	2.06	3.55	3.77
				Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.93	3.55	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.79)	3.52 ↓ (3.65)	3.95 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spain U21
49.6%

Draw
26.7%

Italy U21
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.9%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Italy U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	25%	10%

Spain U21 - Italy U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Spain U21 will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Italy U21 will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain U21: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain U21 (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Italy U21 (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Italy U21 (1.88) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Italy U21 (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Italy U21 (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain U21 (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Italy U21 (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cunat P. (G) FC Cartagena SAD 2. Pubill M. Almeria 4. Marin R. (C) Napoli 15. Herzog J. Las Palmas 12. Garcia A. Aston Villa 14. Jauregizar M. Ath Bilbao 21. Marin P. Real Sociedad 11. Moro R. Valladolid 20. Moleiro A. Las Palmas 17. Rodriguez J. Betis 19. Fernandez Jaen R. Espanyol	12. Zacchi G. (G) Latina 13. Kayode M. Brentford 6. Ghilardi D. (C) Verona 15. Coppola D. Verona 16. Turicchia R. Juventus 18. Doumbia I. Venezia 19. Guarino G. Carrarese 23. Bianco A. Monza 20. Pisilli N. AS Roma 21. Fazzini J. Empoli 9. Ambrosino G. Frosinone
Substitutes
22. Bueno H. Feyenoord 13. Fraga A. (G) Real Sociedad 6. Guerra J. Valencia 1. Iturbe A. (G) Atl. Madrid 9. Joseph M. Leeds 7. Lopez D. Valencia 3. Mosquera C. Valencia 16. Sanchez J. Sevilla 5. Tarrega C. Valencia 10. Torre P. Barcelona 8. Turrientes B. Real Sociedad	11. Baldanzi T. AS Roma 8. Casadei C. Torino 1. Desplanches S. (G) Palermo 14. Fabbian G. Bologna 10. Gnonto W. Leeds 17. Koleosho L. Burnley 7. Ndour C. Fiorentina 5. Pirola L. Olympiacos Piraeus 4. Prati M. Cagliari 3. Ruggeri M. Atalanta 22. Sassi J. (G) Crotone 2. Zanotti M. Lugano
Coaches
Denia S.	Nunziata C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Ghilardi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Moro R. (A),
57', Fazzini J. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Pisilli N. ⚽, Ghilardi D. (A),
65', Rodriguez J. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
65', Marin P. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
67', Pubill M. 🟨,
74', Fazzini J. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
74', Ambrosino G. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
74', Moleiro A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
74', Pubill M. ↓, Torre P. ↑,
80', Fernandez Jaen R. 🟨,
84', Turicchia R. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
84', Guarino G. ↓, Pirola L. ↑,
90', Moro R. ↓, Tarrega C. ↑,
90', Pisilli N. ↓, Prati M. ↑,

Preview

Spain U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Italy U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain U21 won 3.

Italy U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spain U21 is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Spain U21 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain U21
UEFA Euro U21
14.06.25	Spain U21 - Romania U21	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Slovakia U21 - Spain U21	2:3 ✺
Friendly
06.06.25	Spain U21 - Ukraine U21	0:1 ✺
25.03.25	Germany U21 - Spain U21	3:1 ✺
21.03.25	Spain U21 - Czech Republic U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLT
- Italy U21
UEFA Euro U21
14.06.25	Slovakia U21 - Italy U21	0:1 ✺
11.06.25	Italy U21 - Romania U21	1:0 ✺
Friendly
24.03.25	Italy U21 - Denmark U21	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Italy U21 - Netherlands U21	1:2 ✺
19.11.24	Italy U21 - Ukraine U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
27.03.21	Spain U21 - Italy U21	0:0
16.06.19	Italy U21 - Spain U21	3:1
Friendly
01.09.17	Spain U21 - Italy U21	3:0
UEFA Euro U21
27.06.17	Spain U21 - Italy U21	3:1
Friendly
27.03.17	Italy U21 - Spain U21	1:2
UEFA Euro U21
18.06.13	Italy U21 - Spain U21	2:4
Friendly
13.11.12	Italy U21 - Spain U21	1:3

Spain U21 - Italy U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide