Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg)


	Spakenburg		Excelsior Maassluis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.33	4.75
	1.37	4.7	6.41
	1.5	4.4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	4.48 ↑ (4.4)	5.35 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spakenburg
62.7%

Draw
20.3%

Excelsior Maassluis
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

20.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

19.7%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spakenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Excelsior Maassluis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Spakenburg - Excelsior Maassluis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. van Dorp K. (G) 3. Apau M. 10. Kunst D. 14. Wesdorp K. 4. Claver C. 15. van Lopik H. 25. den Haan J. 22. van Mil K. 81. Linthorst T. 9. van der Linden F. (C) 8. van Huffel S.	1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 8. Udenhout J. 6. van Eerden J. 5. Overman G. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 10. Bakour M. 14. Verbont Y. 30. Hamd Y. 27. Plank D. 20. Houwaart M.
Substitutes
6. da Fonseca G. 7. El Azzouti A. 1. Heus M. (G) 11. Junte R. 16. Kok O. 27. Puriel J. 44. van Dieren K.	26. Bronder S. 16. El Fakiri K. (G) 4. Heuvelman D. 17. Slagveer D. 11. Tavares Mojica Q. 19. van der Velden S. 9. Wennekers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', van Eerden J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Junte R. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 0, van Huffel S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spakenburg won 2.

Spakenburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Excelsior Maassluis is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Spakenburg is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Spakenburg won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Spakenburg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Spakenburg
Dutch Tweede Divisie
06.09.25	RKAV Volendam - Spakenburg	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Spakenburg - HSV Hoek	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Spakenburg	4:4 ✺
16.08.25	Spakenburg - ACV	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Spakenburg - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTWL
- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Tweede Divisie
06.09.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Koninklijke HFC	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Katwijk - Excelsior Maassluis	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Excelsior Maassluis - De Treffers	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Rijnsburgse Boys - Excelsior Maassluis	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Olympique Marseille	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
25.01.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Spakenburg	3:1
24.02.24	Excelsior Maassluis - Spakenburg	1:1
23.09.23	Spakenburg - Excelsior Maassluis	4:2
11.02.23	Excelsior Maassluis - Spakenburg	0:2
04.10.22	Spakenburg - Excelsior Maassluis	0:1
28.05.22	Excelsior Maassluis - Spakenburg	4:0
09.10.21	Spakenburg - Excelsior Maassluis	4:2

Spakenburg - Excelsior Maassluis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide