Match Info

4. liga - Group C - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Sportovni areal Brankovicka (Kolin)


	Sparta Kolín		Turnov

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.50	2.37
	2.42	3.45	2.35
	2.46	3.50	2.38
	2.49	3.66	2.39	Watch
	2.40	3.45	2.35
	2.38	3.72	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.2)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)	2.36 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Kolín
36.9%

Draw
25.2%

Turnov
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

23.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

23.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Kolín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Turnov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Kolín than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sparta Kolín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turnov than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kolín won 4.

Kolín is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Turnov have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Turnov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Kolín has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:7 (averaging 2.5:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kolín against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:1 goals (averaging 3.7:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Turnov	9	5	1	3	23:16	7	16
9	Kolin	9	3	3	3	15:16	-1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Sparta Kolín - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.35%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Sparta Kolín
Czech 4 Liga Group C
19.09.26	Čechie Vykáň - Sparta Kolín	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	Sparta Kolín - Spartak Police Nad Metuji	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Svitavy - Sparta Kolín	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Sparta Kolín - Kosmonosy	0:4 ✺
16.08.26	Sparta Kolín - Chlumec nad Cidlinou	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWLT
- FK Turnov
Czech 4 Liga Group C
20.09.26	Spartak Police Nad Metuji - Turnov	3:5 ✺
13.09.26	Turnov - Kosmonosy	4:1 ✺
06.09.26	Chlumec nad Cidlinou - Turnov	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Přepeře - Turnov	5:2 ✺
16.08.26	Turnov - Trutnov	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 4 Liga Group C
20.04.19	Sparta Kolín - Turnov	6:0
23.09.18	Turnov - Sparta Kolín	1:0
22.04.18	Sparta Kolín - Turnov	3:0
24.09.17	Turnov - Sparta Kolín	2:3
23.04.17	Sparta Kolín - Turnov	2:1
25.09.16	Turnov - Sparta Kolín	3:1

Sparta Kolín - Turnov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide