Match Info

Date: 13 November 2021, Saturday


	Spartak 2 Moscow		Kuban Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.5
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	2.55	3.25	2.39
	2.76	3.5	2.52
	2.62	3.2	2.45
	2.73	3.44	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.15)	3.36 ↓ (3.54)	2.46 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak 2 Moscow
35.2%

Draw
27.4%

Kuban Krasnodar
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

17.4%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak 2 Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak 2 Moscow's form might have worsened.

Kuban Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kuban Krasnodar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak 2 Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak 2 Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kuban Krasnodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spartak 2 Moscow - Kuban Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Spartak 2 M has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kuban is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartak 2 M won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Spartak 2 M won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak 2 Moscow
Russian FNL
06.11.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Spartak 2 Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
23.10.21	KAMAZ - Spartak 2 Moscow	4:1 ✺
17.10.21	Spartak 2 Moscow - Rotor	1:1 ✺
13.10.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Spartak 2 Moscow	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL
06.11.21	Veles Moscow - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Kuban Krasnodar - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
27.10.21	Kuban Krasnodar - Krasnodar	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL
23.10.21	Krasnodar 2 - Kuban Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
17.10.21	Kuban Krasnodar - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
31.07.21	Kuban Krasnodar - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:2
17.03.18	Spartak 2 Moscow - Kuban Krasnodar	0:0
27.08.17	Kuban Krasnodar - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:3
09.11.16	Kuban Krasnodar - Spartak 2 Moscow	5:2
23.07.16	Spartak 2 Moscow - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0

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