Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Spartak 2 Moscow		Yenisey 2

	1	X	2
	2.27	3.23	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (3.05)	3.23 ↑ (3)	3.03 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak 2 Moscow
40.8%

Draw
28.7%

Yenisey 2
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

30.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

29.4%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak 2 Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak 2 Moscow's performance.

Yenisey 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yenisey 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak 2 Moscow than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak 2 Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yenisey 2 than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yenisey 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spartak 2 Moscow - Yenisey 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Pelevin P. ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, Gubanov A. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Pelevin P. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8).

In recent matches, Spartak 2 M has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yenisey 2 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spartak 2 M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Spartak 2 M won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak 2 M won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Spartak Moscow 2	23	6	6	11	20:30	-10	24
14	Yenisey 2	25	6	4	15	29:53	-24	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak 2 Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
14.05.26	Irkutsk - Spartak 2 Moscow	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Chertanovo - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Spartak 2 Moscow - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Spartak 2 Moscow - Cherepovets	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTLW
- FK Yenisey 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
10.05.26	Yenisey 2 - Volga Tver	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Yenisey 2	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Yenisey 2 - Murom	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Luki-Energiya - Yenisey 2	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Yenisey 2 - Zvezda St. Petersburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
19.10.25	Yenisey 2 - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:2
28.06.25	Spartak 2 Moscow - Yenisey 2	2:0
08.09.24	Spartak 2 Moscow - Yenisey 2	3:1
26.05.24	Yenisey 2 - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:2

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