Match Info

Youth League - Round 30

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Spartak Moscow U19		Krylya Sovetov Samara U19

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.15	6.11
	1.41	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)	4.33 ↓ (4.65)	5.56 ↓ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow U19
63.1%

Draw
20.8%

Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

19.6%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

17.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow U19 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Moscow U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Spartak Moscow U19 - Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Kondoyanidi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Sorokin I. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Bodrov F. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Youth League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak U19 won 5.

Spartak U19 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Krylya Sovetov U19 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Spartak U19 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Spartak U19 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:14. (average 2.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak U19 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Moscow U19
Russian Youth League
07.11.25	CSKA Moscow U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	Spartak Moscow U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	1:3 ✺
24.10.25	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	2:2 ✺
17.10.25	Spartak Moscow U19 - Dynamo Moscow U19	5:2 ✺
03.10.25	Rostov U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTWT
- Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
Russian Youth League
08.11.25	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - Ural U19	3:4 ✺
31.10.25	Zenit Petersburg U19 - Krylya Sovetov Samara U19	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - Sochi U19	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Krylya Sovetov Samara U19	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
11.07.25	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	2:3
21.06.24	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	3:4
15.03.24	Spartak Moscow U19 - Krylya Sovetov Samara U19	2:1
15.09.23	Spartak Moscow U19 - Krylya Sovetov Samara U19	2:0
11.11.22	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	1:2
19.11.21	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	0:3
30.07.21	Spartak Moscow U19 - Krylya Sovetov Samara U19	3:1

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