Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 23

Date: 20 March 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Spartak Pleven		Krumovgrad

	1	X	2
	3.81	3.01	1.93
	3.6	3	1.95
	3.82	3.3	1.92	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (2.84)	3.14 ↑ (2.98)	1.95 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Pleven
24.8%

Draw
28.8%

Krumovgrad
46.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.6%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

30.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Pleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Pleven's form might have worsened.

Krumovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Krumovgrad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Pleven than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Pleven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Krumovgrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Spartak Pleven - Krumovgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Krumovgrad will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 4).

Spartak Pleven is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Krumovgrad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spartak Pleven could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Krumovgrad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Spartak Pleven won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Spartak Pleven
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
11.03.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Spartak Pleven	2:2 ✺
06.03.23	Spartak Pleven - Ludogorets II	1:3 ✺
24.02.23	Yantra Gabrovo - Spartak Pleven	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Spartak Pleven - Sozopol	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Spartak Pleven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLTL
- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
11.03.23	Krumovgrad - Strumska Slava Radomir	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Krumovgrad	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Krumovgrad - Minyor Pernik	1:0 ✺
20.02.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Krumovgrad	1:3 ✺
13.02.23	Krumovgrad - Sportist Svoge	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.08.22	Krumovgrad - Spartak Pleven	2:1

Spartak Pleven - Krumovgrad