Match Info

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Gradski stadion (Subotica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport 10
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Spartak Subotica		Napredak Kruševac

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.10	3.40
	1.7	3.35	4.2
	1.68	3.56	4.63
	1.85	3.49	4.1	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.3
	1.66	3.94	4.67
	1.7	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.05)	3.46 ↑ (3.05)	4.21 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Subotica
52.2%

Draw
26.2%

Napredak Kruševac
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Subotica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Subotica's performance.

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napredak Kruševac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Subotica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napredak Kruševac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spartak Subotica - Napredak Kruševac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minic D. (G) 11. Bastajic N. 77. Enzo 4. Kosanovic M. (C) 23. Kovacevic A. 33. Kuveljic N. 44. Motika N. 9. Mulato J. 99. Pavlovic A. 15. Subotic L. 10. Trajkovic A.	1. Balevic L. (C) 22. Andrejevic A. 7. Bogdanovic P. 33. Bogdanovic V. 27. Bukumira N. 10. Lukovic A. 11. Milosevic S. 15. Mitrovic M. 70. Novakovic A. 77. Sreckovic N. 9. Stuparevic F.
Substitutes
71. Campos T. 7. Covic N. 36. Desnica V. 12. Dulic M. (G) 6. Ebuka 17. Jovanovic S. 55. Kovacevic V. 20. Miranovic N. 30. Peic L. 22. Petrovic A. 24. Vasilic S.	5. Danicic D. 88. Gigic P. 8. Jovanovic D. 4. Krstic F. 89. Krstovic L. 44. Miladinovic L. 23. Milic A. 84. Novakovic F. (G) 99. Stamenkovic A. 17. Vlaisavljevic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Novakovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Motika N. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Kuveljic N. ⚽,
65', Lukovic A. ↓, Gigic P. ↑,
65', Stuparevic F. ↓, Krstovic L. ↑,
68', Trajkovic A. ↓, Covic N. ↑,
79', Bukumira N. 🟨,
79', Bukumira N. ↓, Milic A. ↑,
82', Novakovic A. ↓, Stamenkovic A. ↑,
82', Milosevic S. ↓, Danicic D. ↑,
84', Mulato J. ↓, Petrovic A. ↑,

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Napredak	12	5	2	5	13:15	-2	17
11	Sp. Subotica	12	4	3	5	18:23	-5	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Subotica
Serbian Prva Liga
05.09.26	Spartak Subotica - Vršac	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Jedinstvo Ub - Spartak Subotica	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Spartak Subotica - Javor Ivanjica	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Bačka Topola - Spartak Subotica	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	Spartak Subotica - Teleoptik	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTTL
- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Prva Liga
05.09.26	Napredak Kruševac - Jedinstvo Ub	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Javor Ivanjica - Napredak Kruševac	3:0 ✺
23.08.26	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka Topola	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Teleoptik - Napredak Kruševac	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Napredak Kruševac - Metalac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
10.05.26	Spartak Subotica - Napredak Kruševac	0:3
01.03.26	Napredak Kruševac - Spartak Subotica	1:1
28.09.25	Spartak Subotica - Napredak Kruševac	2:1
24.04.25	Spartak Subotica - Napredak Kruševac	2:1
22.12.24	Spartak Subotica - Napredak Kruševac	0:2
17.08.24	Napredak Kruševac - Spartak Subotica	2:0
12.02.24	Napredak Kruševac - Spartak Subotica	1:1

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