Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Spartak Tambov		Rodina Moscow 3

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 (1.3)	5 ↑ (4.95)	7.7 (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Tambov
70%

Draw
18.2%

Rodina Moscow 3
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

18.3%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

17.2%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Rodina Moscow 3 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Tambov than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Spartak Tambov - Rodina Moscow 3 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Gurchenko D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 12).

Spartak Tambov is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rodina 3's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rodina 3 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Spartak Tambov is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Spartak Tambov will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spartak Tambov won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Spartak Tambov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Spartak Tambov	26	20	3	3	47:14	33	63
8	Rodina Moscow 3	26	12	4	10	50:41	9	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Tambov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
02.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Zenit Penza	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Spartak Tambov	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Strogino Moskva - Spartak Tambov	0:6 ✺
11.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Spartak Tambov	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Spartak Tambov - Shumbrat Saransk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWWW
- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.05.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Avangard Kursk	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Volna Kovernino - Rodina Moscow 3	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Ryazan	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Rotor 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Kvant Obninsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
23.08.25	Spartak Tambov - Rodina Moscow 3	1:0
03.05.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Spartak Tambov	1:1

Spartak Tambov - Rodina Moscow 3: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide