Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 14

Date: 1 July 2024, Monday


	Spartak Tambov		Sakhalin

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.42	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.24)	3.42 ↑ (3.34)	2.24 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Tambov
32.6%

Draw
26.7%

Sakhalin
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

27.3%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

26.5%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Sakhalin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Tambov than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Tambov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakhalin than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sakhalin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spartak Tambov - Sakhalin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Solovjov D. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Chasovskikh A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 2 - 1, Zhuravlev G. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Tambov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
25.06.24	Arsenal 2 Tula - Spartak Tambov	1:1 ✺
06.06.24	Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad - Spartak Tambov	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	Spartak Tambov - Khimki 2	2:3 ✺
25.05.24	Dynamo Vladivostok - Spartak Tambov	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Spartak Tambov - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTLLW
- FC Sakhalin
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
19.06.24	Sakhalin - Khimki 2	2:0 ✺
13.06.24	Sakhalin - Dynamo Vladivostok	0:1 ✺
07.06.24	Sakhalin - Strogino Moskva	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Sakhalin - Kvant Obninsk	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Sakhalin - SKA Khabarovsk 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
19.08.23	Spartak Tambov - Sakhalin	1:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
15.10.22	Sakhalin - Spartak Tambov	1:2

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