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Current Win Probability
Spezia U19 58.1%
Draw 22.7%
Salernitana U19 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
25.6%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
25%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spezia U19's performance.
Salernitana U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia U19 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spezia U19 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana U19 than the current prediction. (+3%)
Spezia U19 - Salernitana U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, ⚽,
75', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Primavera 2 (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia U19 won 2.
Spezia U19 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Salernitana U19's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Salernitana U19 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Spezia U19 is the team to beat.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Spezia U19 won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Spezia U19 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).