Match Info

3. Liga - East - Round 7

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Spišské Podhradie		Kežmarok

	1	X	2
	3.31	3.98	1.81
	3.64	4.08	1.76	Watch
	3.33	4.2	1.85
	2.64	3.67	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.64)	3.98 ↑ (3.67)	1.91 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spišské Podhradie
28.6%

Draw
23.2%

Kežmarok
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

24.8%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

24%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spišské Podhradie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spišské Podhradie's form might have worsened.

Kežmarok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kežmarok's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spišské Podhradie than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kežmarok than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kežmarok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spišské Podhradie - Kežmarok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).

Spišské Podhradie is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kežmarok is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kežmarok may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kežmarok has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Spišské Podhradie won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MŠK Spišské Podhradie
Slovak Cup
14.09.25	Spišské Podhradie - MFK Košice	1:7 ✺
Slovak 3 Liga East
07.09.25	Spartak Medzev - Spišské Podhradie	5:2 ✺
31.08.25	Spišské Podhradie - Košice B	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Raslavice - Spišské Podhradie	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Lokomotíva Košice - Spišské Podhradie	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTLL
- 1. MFK Kežmarok
Slovak Cup
26.08.25	Bešeňová - Kežmarok	0:1 ✺
Slovak 3 Liga East
23.08.25	Kežmarok - Poprad	4:1 ✺
17.08.25	Tesla Stropkov - Kežmarok	2:1 ✺
Slovak Cup
06.08.25	Liptovská Teplá - Kežmarok	2:4 ✺
Slovak 3 Liga East
02.08.25	Vranov nad Topľou - Kežmarok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Cup
14.09.22	Kežmarok - Spišské Podhradie	2:0

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