Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Spjelkavik		Aalesunds 2

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.7	6.1
	1.3	5.43	5.46
	1.33	6.09	5.79	Watch
	1.3	5	6
	1.28	5.95	6.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.37)	5.63 ↑ (5.46)	5.98 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spjelkavik
69.1%

Draw
15.9%

Aalesunds 2
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

16.9%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

13.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spjelkavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Aalesunds 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spjelkavik than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spjelkavik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds 2 than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Spjelkavik - Aalesunds 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Halvorsen K. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Tjostheim J. ⚽,
18', 2 - 1, Leikanger T. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 2, Leikanger T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spjelkavik won 2.

Recent performances by Spjelkavik have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aalesunds 2 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aalesunds 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spjelkavik is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Spjelkavik won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Spjelkavik won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Spjelkavik	22	8	4	10	41:48	-7	28
14	Aalesund 2	21	6	2	13	38:62	-24	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spjelkavik IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
02.05.26	Kvik - Spjelkavik	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Spjelkavik - Volda	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ranheim 2 - Spjelkavik	5:3 ✺
12.04.26	Spjelkavik - Herd	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	NTNUI - Spjelkavik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLLT
- Aalesunds FK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
03.05.26	Aalesunds 2 - Melhus	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Rosenborg II - Aalesunds 2	5:0 ✺
19.04.26	Nardo - Aalesunds 2	5:1 ✺
11.04.26	Aalesunds 2 - Kvik	3:4 ✺
06.04.26	Volda - Aalesunds 2	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
25.08.25	Spjelkavik - Aalesunds 2	4:1
30.06.25	Aalesunds 2 - Spjelkavik	2:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
04.08.24	Spjelkavik - Aalesunds 2	2:1
07.04.24	Aalesunds 2 - Spjelkavik	2:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
23.10.22	Spjelkavik - Aalesunds 2	1:1
11.04.22	Aalesunds 2 - Spjelkavik	2:0
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
18.10.21	Spjelkavik - Aalesunds 2	0:2

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