Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday


	Spjelkavik		Gjelleråsen

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.2	3.3
	1.79	4	3.21
	1.79	4.27	3.38	Watch
	1.76	4.15	3.49
	1.83	4.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.68)	4.16 ↓ (4.24)	3.34 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spjelkavik
50.7%

Draw
21.9%

Gjelleråsen
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

21.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

21.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spjelkavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Gjelleråsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spjelkavik than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gjelleråsen than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Spjelkavik - Gjelleråsen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Leandersson E. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Myers R. ⚽,
28', 3 - 0, Leandersson E. ⚽,
43', 4 - 0, Leandersson E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', 5 - 0, Leandersson E. ⚽,
64', 6 - 0, Leandersson E. ⚽,
85', 7 - 0, Leandersson E. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Spjelkavik is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gjelleråsen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gjelleråsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Spjelkavik is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Spjelkavik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spjelkavik IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
07.09.24	Lørenskog - Spjelkavik	4:0 ✺
31.08.24	Spjelkavik - Bjørkelangen Høland	4:3 ✺
24.08.24	Kristiansund 2 - Spjelkavik	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Spjelkavik - Molde 2	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Lokomotiv Oslo - Spjelkavik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLTL
- Gjelleråsen IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
08.09.24	Molde 2 - Gjelleråsen	1:1 ✺
02.09.24	Gjelleråsen - Kristiansund 2	5:1 ✺
23.08.24	Bjørkelangen Høland - Gjelleråsen	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Gjelleråsen - Lørenskog	0:4 ✺
11.08.24	Træff - Gjelleråsen	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
25.05.24	Gjelleråsen - Spjelkavik	0:3

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