Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Spjelkavik		Rosenborg II

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.00	5.50
	1.48	4.3	4.6
	1.55	4.55	4.33
	1.54	4.5	4.64	Watch
	1.53	4.15	4.25
	1.5	4.25	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (2.11)	4.46 ↑ (3.94)	4.7 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spjelkavik
60.5%

Draw
20.3%

Rosenborg II
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

23.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

23.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spjelkavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spjelkavik's performance.

Rosenborg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosenborg II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spjelkavik than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spjelkavik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg II than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Spjelkavik - Rosenborg II Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Spjelkavik will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Rosenborg II will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spjelkavik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Borgersen A. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Troset H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 3, Hermansen E. ⚽,
64', 0 - 4, Troset H. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 7th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Rosenborg II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Rosenborg II has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Spjelkavik carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Spjelkavik has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:8 (averaging 0.7:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Spjelkavik against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Rosenborg 2	22	9	4	9	50:40	10	31
8	Spjelkavik	22	8	4	10	41:48	-7	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spjelkavik IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
14.09.26	Aalesunds 2 - Spjelkavik	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Nardo - Spjelkavik	4:2 ✺
31.08.26	Spjelkavik - Molde 2	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Spjelkavik - Hødd	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
15.08.26	Orkla FK - Spjelkavik	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLW
- Rosenborg BK II
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
13.09.26	Rosenborg II - Nardo	2:5 ✺
31.08.26	Rosenborg II - Byåsen	1:2 ✺
10.08.26	Rosenborg II - Ranheim 2	7:1 ✺
03.08.26	Orkla FK - Rosenborg II	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Rosenborg II - Strindheim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
27.06.26	Rosenborg II - Spjelkavik	2:1
17.08.25	Rosenborg II - Spjelkavik	5:1
23.06.25	Spjelkavik - Rosenborg II	0:1

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