Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 10

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)


	Sport Recife		Grêmio Porto Alegrense

	1	X	2
	7.25	5	1.3
	8	4.9	1.3
	8.5	4.99	1.33
	8.49	4.87	1.35	Watch
	9.15	4.8	1.28
	8	4.9	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.23 ↑ (7.47)	4.91 ↑ (4.4)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
11.2%

Draw
18.7%

Grêmio Porto Alegrense
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

20.7%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

16.6%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Grêmio Porto Alegrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Porto Alegrense than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Porto Alegrense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sport Recife - Grêmio Porto Alegrense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sport Recife (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nanda (C) 5. Andreia 10. Bianquinha 4. Debora X. 2. Evinha 11. Gessica 7. Hayla 9. Layza 6. Marcelinha 3. Maria Clara 8. Taissa	33. Leticia (G) 97. Bia Santos 27. Dani Barao 99. Giovaninha 77. Gisele 95. Maria Dias 14. Pena J. 7. Pini 15. Raissa Bahia 20. Ramos M. 3. Tayla (C)
Substitutes
21. Barros G. 20. Duarte K. 15. Ellen 24. Gleyci 17. Ingrid Beatriz (G) 19. Isis 13. Larissa Regina 14. Negona 16. Pintinho 18. Taina 1. Wanessa (G) 22. Yanca	5. Amanda Brunner 21. Brito 8. Drika 66. Katielle 6. Montoya D. 1. Raissa Tayna (G) 11. Rodriguez Y. 9. Valeria Paula

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Maria Dias ⚽,
13', Maria Dias 🟨,
23', Maria Clara 🟨,
35', Andreia 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Layza ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maria Dias ↓, Drika ↑,
46', Hayla ↓, Duarte K. ↑,
60', Pena J. ↓, Montoya D. ↑,
67', Gisele ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
69', Taissa ↓, Barros G. ↑,
70', Bianquinha ↓, Ingrid Beatriz ↑,
79', Raissa Bahia ↓, Katielle ↑,
80', Pini ↓, Amanda Brunner ↑,
90+1', Barros G. 🟨,
90+3', Gessica ↓, Isis ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women and 11).

Sport Recife is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Grêmio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Grêmio is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sport Recife won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife Women
Brasileiro Women
04.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
30.04.25	3B da Amazônia - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Sport Recife - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Sport Recife - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	São Paulo - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Grêmio Porto Alegrense Women
Brasileiro Women
04.05.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Juventude	3:1 ✺
01.05.25	Corinthians - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Internacional	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	América Mineiro - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brasil Ladies Cup Women
16.12.24	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Sport Recife	0:0

Sport Recife - Grêmio Porto Alegrense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide