Match Info

Date: 11 May 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen		Backnang

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.75	2.35
	2.8	3.8	1.94
	2.32	3.75	2.32
	2.71	3.93	2.27
	2.66	3.9	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.06)	3.83 ↑ (3.8)	2.22 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen
35.3%

Draw
23.7%

Backnang
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

24%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

22.6%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen's performance.

Backnang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Backnang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Backnang than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Backnang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen - Backnang Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dorfmerkingen will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Backnang will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dorfmerkingen: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Backnang will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dorfmerkingen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Dorfmerkingen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
07.05.22	Nöttingen - Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen	2:2 ✺
30.04.22	Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen - Linx	2:2 ✺
27.04.22	Lörrach-Brombach - Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen - Villingen	0:1 ✺
18.04.22	Göppingen - Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTWLL
- TSG Backnang 1919
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
07.05.22	Freiburger - Backnang	2:0 ✺
30.04.22	Backnang - Pforzheim	2:2 ✺
27.04.22	Neckarsulmer - Backnang	4:1 ✺
23.04.22	Backnang - Rielasingen-Arlen	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Linx - Backnang	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
15.09.21	Backnang - Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen	2:2
16.09.20	Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen - Backnang	3:1

Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen - Backnang