Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Sportfreunde Lotte		Bochum II

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.6	2.68
	2.32	3.65	2.74
	2.29	3.63	2.67
	2.28	3.4	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.16)	3.57 ↑ (3.41)	2.7 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Lotte
40.1%

Draw
25.8%

Bochum II
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.8%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

27%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Bochum II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum II than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Sportfreunde Lotte - Bochum II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Horn L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Wagbe A. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Kurt K. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Hartwig L. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 3.

SF Lotte has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bochum II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

SF Lotte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

SF Lotte could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, SF Lotte won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Bochum II	11	3	2	6	14:20	-6	11
18	Lotte	11	0	3	8	7:22	-15	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
27.03.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rödinghausen	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Wuppertal - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Siegen	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Paderborn II - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Wiedenbrück	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWLT
- Bochum II
German Regionalliga West
25.03.26	Bonner - Bochum II	2:2 ✺
20.03.26	Bochum II - Siegen	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Paderborn II - Bochum II	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Bochum II - Wiedenbrück	3:1 ✺
04.03.26	Velbert - Bochum II	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
04.10.25	Bochum II - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:2
07.03.15	Bochum II - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:4
12.09.14	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bochum II	1:0
24.05.14	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bochum II	0:0
07.12.13	Bochum II - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1
27.04.13	Bochum II - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1

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