Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 3

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday


	Sportfreunde Lotte		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.95	3.4
	1.83	3.88	3.39
	2	3.8	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.77)	3.88 ↓ (4)	3.31 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Lotte
48.7%

Draw
23.6%

Borussia Dortmund II
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

22.9%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

23%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
16', 1 - 0, Demaj L. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Wustenhagen B. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Drakas B. ⚽,
38', 2 - 2, Demaj L. ⚽,
43', 2 - 3, Luhrs Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 3 - 3, Heider M. ⚽,
51', Riemer J. 🟨,
59', 3 - 4, (Own goal),
63', 3 - 5, Wustenhagen B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 0.

SF Lotte has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Borussia Dortmund II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

SF Lotte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

SF Lotte is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, SF Lotte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Dortmund II - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.42%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
02.08.25	Rödinghausen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Velbert	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Lippstadt 08 - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:2 ✺
09.07.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Werder Bremen II	3:2 ✺
05.07.25	NEC Nijmegen - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTWL
- Borussia Dortmund II
German Regionalliga West
03.08.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Siegen	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Paderborn II - Borussia Dortmund II	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Austria Salzburg - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	09 Dortmund - Borussia Dortmund II	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Werder Bremen II	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
31.01.21	Borussia Dortmund II - Sportfreunde Lotte	4:0
16.09.20	Sportfreunde Lotte - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2
14.12.19	Sportfreunde Lotte - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1
04.08.19	Borussia Dortmund II - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1
13.02.16	Sportfreunde Lotte - Borussia Dortmund II	0:1
22.08.15	Borussia Dortmund II - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1

Upcoming Matches