Match Info

Division 2 A - Round 31

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Sporting Alexandria		Abu Qir Fertilizers

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.62
	5.8	3.3	1.6
	6.38	3.28	1.64
	6.28	3.38	1.58
	5.5	3.4	1.57
	6.51	3.2	1.58
	5.8	3.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.9 ↑ (4.25)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	1.6 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Alexandria
15.5%

Draw
27.5%

Abu Qir Fertilizers
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.8%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

25.3%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Alexandria's form might have worsened.

Abu Qir Fertilizers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Alexandria than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Alexandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abu Qir Fertilizers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Sporting Alexandria - Abu Qir Fertilizers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Sporting Alexandria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Abu Qir Fertilizers is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Abu Qir Fertilizers is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting Alexandria won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Alexandria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Alexandria
Egyptian Division 2 A
14.04.25	La Viena - Sporting Alexandria	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	Sporting Alexandria - Tanta	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Wadi Degla - Sporting Alexandria	1:0 ✺
26.03.25	Sporting Alexandria - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	0:0 ✺
17.03.25	Aswan - Sporting Alexandria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLTL
- Abu Qir Fertilizers SC
Egyptian Division 2 A
15.04.25	Abu Qir Fertilizers - El Dakhleya	1:0 ✺
10.04.25	Olympic El Qanah - Abu Qir Fertilizers	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Tersana	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Abu Qir Fertilizers	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Abu Qir Fertilizers - El Sekka El Hadid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 A
12.12.24	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Sporting Alexandria	0:0
Egyptian Division 2 - Group C
14.06.23	Sporting Alexandria - Abu Qir Fertilizers	2:1
18.01.23	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Sporting Alexandria	2:0
10.03.22	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Sporting Alexandria	1:1
11.11.21	Sporting Alexandria - Abu Qir Fertilizers	2:1

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