Match Info

NPFL - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sporting Lagos		Bendel Insurance

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.35	4.00
	1.75	3.33	4.30
	1.91	2.8	4.71	Watch
	1.71	3.15	4.50
	1.75	3.29	4.88
	1.74	3.25	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)	3.2 ↓ (3.27)	4.5 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lagos
51.4%

Draw
28.4%

Bendel Insurance
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

28%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.1%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lagos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bendel Insurance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lagos than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bendel Insurance than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Sporting Lagos - Bendel Insurance Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bendel will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Harcourt E. (G) 6. Adeede A. J. 14. Ajibola J. 4. Ayoade S. 16. Haruna H. 5. Idakwo A. 12. Mohammed A. 20. Olaniya G. 10. Samuel V. 2. Solomon U. (C) 8. Ugwu V.	12. Obasogie A. (G) 30. Adekunle A. 35. Amaefule C. 25. Dung E. 4. Emiloju J. 28. Lekan G. 11. Nwosu C. 21. Oke Solomon K. 6. Oweilayefa A. 37. Ubiomo E. 13. Wuchirwe F.
Substitutes
28. Aboh D. 17. Adigun L. 9. Baba A. 26. Batunba S. 30. Emmauel J. 1. Lawani C. (G) 19. Okokon I. 13. Okoro O. 3. Zion H.	8. Abdullahi F. 10. Naisa J. 24. Nwokeji E. 3. Onyia H. 32. Orysa J. (G) 22. Shimagande T. 9. Suraju L. 27. Usman S. 7. Wisdom U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Oke Solomon K. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Samuel V. ⚽,
17', 🟨,
22', 2 - 1, Olaniya G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
54', 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 6th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Sporting Lagos could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Sporting Lagos carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Lagos has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sporting Lagos against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Bendel	9	5	0	4	16:14	2	15
7	Sporting Lagos	9	4	3	2	13:11	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lagos
Nigerian Premier League
03.10.26	Kano Pillars - Sporting Lagos	1:1 ✺
30.09.26	Sporting Lagos - Ikorodu City	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Sporting Lagos - Barau	1:1 ✺
23.09.26	Enyimba - Sporting Lagos	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Sporting Lagos - Abia Warriors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TTTWL
- Bendel Insurance FC
Nigerian Premier League
04.10.26	Bendel Insurance - Barau	4:1
27.09.26	Abia Warriors - Bendel Insurance	3:0 ✺
23.09.26	Bendel Insurance - Ikorodu City	2:1
19.09.26	Ranchers Bees - Bendel Insurance	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Nasarawa United - Bendel Insurance	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
18.02.24	Sporting Lagos - Bendel Insurance	1:0
20.01.24	Bendel Insurance - Sporting Lagos	3:1

Sporting Lagos - Bendel Insurance