Match Info

Romanian Cup - Round 1

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Sporting Liești		Oţelul Galaţi

	1	X	2
	20	8.1	1.09
	15.00	12.55	1.02	Watch
	17	8.02	1.11	Watch
	10	5.66	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.5 ↑ (6.9)	8.58 ↑ (5.3)	1.11 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Liești
5.9%

Draw
10.7%

Oţelul Galaţi
83.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

17.2%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

16.5%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Liești has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Liești's form might have worsened.

Oţelul Galaţi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oţelul Galaţi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Liești than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Liești, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oţelul Galaţi than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oţelul Galaţi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sporting Liești - Oţelul Galaţi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oţelul will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Oţelul (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oţelul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Branet A. 9. Costea V. 6. Crihana B. 10. Iordache G. 77. Maftei C. 5. Munchiu D. 7. Munteanu V. 19. Nastase T. 15. Popa P. 11. Stan A. 99. Voinea P.	1. Dur-Bozoanca C. (G) 7. Andrezinho 24. Bordun D. 17. Ciobanu A. 97. Conrado 6. Iacob P. 18. Joao Paulo 77. Paulinho 27. Pedro N. 2. Zhelev M. 31. Zivulic D. (C)
Substitutes
. Baluta R. . Coman M. . Dima C. . Grigoras A. . Gropeneanu A. . Iacob G. . Munteanu G. (G) . Podasca R. . Sebi	3. Bonilla J. 23. Chira C. 30. Frunza M. 5. Murria V. . Neicu C. . Neicu E. 9. Patrick 32. Popescu I. (G) 20. Sandu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ciobanu A. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Voinea P. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
39', Voinea P. ↓, Grigoras A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Bordun D. ↓, Sandu D. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Costea V. ⚽,
54', 🟨,
60', 2 - 2, Pedro N. ⚽,
64', 2 - 3, Andrezinho ⚽,
69', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sporting Liești may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sporting Liești has had a series of away games.

In this match, Oţelul is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sporting Liești won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Liești won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sporting Liești
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 2
18.10.25	Păuleşti - Sporting Liești	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Brăila - Sporting Liești	1:6 ✺
24.09.25	Târgu Secuiesc - Sporting Liești	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Sporting Liești - Unirea Braniştea	Sporting Liesti awarded ✺
05.09.25	Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2 - Sporting Liești	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWL?W
- Oţelul Galaţi
Romanian SuperLiga
25.10.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Universitatea Cluj	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	UTA Arad - Oţelul Galaţi	0:4 ✺
06.10.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Metaloglobus Bucureşti	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	FCSB - Oţelul Galaţi	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Universitatea Craiova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 2
30.10.21	Oţelul Galaţi - Sporting Liești	3:1
28.08.21	Sporting Liești - Oţelul Galaţi	2:1
24.04.21	Oţelul Galaţi - Sporting Liești	1:0
Romanian Cup
29.08.18	Sporting Liești - Oţelul Galaţi	1:0 penalties

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