Match Info
Campeonato Nacional U19 - Championship Group - Round 12Date: 2 May 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Portugal | Sporting TV |
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Sporting Lisbon U19 |
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Santa Clara U19 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.38 |
4.35 |
6.5 |
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 |
1.42 |
4.33 |
6.4 |
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 |
1.4 |
4.4 |
6.58 |
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 |
1.4 |
3.9 |
6.5 |
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 |
1.39 |
4.2 |
6.94 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.81) |
4.24 ↑
(3.17) |
6.58 ↑
(4.13) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon U19
64.8% | Draw
21.4% | Santa Clara U19
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon U19's performance.Santa Clara U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Clara U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U19 than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon U19 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara U19 than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Clara U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sporting Lisbon U19 - Santa Clara U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Machado A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 🟥,
- 67', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 5).Sporting U19 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Santa Clara U19 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Sporting U19 has had a series of away games. In this match, Sporting U19 is a strong favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sporting U19 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).Including home match between the teams, Sporting U19 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting Lisbon U19 - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 49.78%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19 | | | 01.03.26 | Santa Clara U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19 | 2:1 | | 21.12.25 | Sporting Lisbon U19 - Santa Clara U19 | 0:0 | | 21.09.25 | Santa Clara U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19 | 1:1 |
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