The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon U19 43.8%
Draw 28.1%
Santa Clara U19 28.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.6%
24.9%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
27.2%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon U19's form might have worsened.
Santa Clara U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Clara U19's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon U19 than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara U19 than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Clara U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sporting Lisbon U19 - Santa Clara U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group: )).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Sporting U19 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Santa Clara U19 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Sporting U19 carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Sporting U19 has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sporting U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting Lisbon U19 - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 53.56%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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