Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato Nacional U19 - Championship Group - Round 12

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Sporting Lisbon U19		Vitoria Guimarães U19

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	4
	1.72	3.75	4
	1.74	3.81	3.95
	1.72	3.88	4.11
	1.72	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.87)	3.78 ↑ (3.69)	4.01 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon U19
53.1%

Draw
24.1%

Vitoria Guimarães U19
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.1%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

25.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Vitoria Guimarães U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U19 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães U19 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Sanha M. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Cardoso N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 3).

Sporting U19 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vitoria Guimarães U19 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sporting U19 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
04.05.24	Académico de Viseu U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	5:5 ✺
27.04.24	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Porto U19	2:3 ✺
20.04.24	Farense U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Braga U19	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Benfica U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLWLL
- Vitoria Guimarães U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
04.05.24	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Braga U19	2:4 ✺
27.04.24	Académico de Viseu U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Benfica U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Porto U19	4:4 ✺
06.04.24	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Famalicão U19	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
10.03.24	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	2:1

Sporting Lisbon U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide