Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov (Svoge)


	Sportist Svoge		Spartak Pleven

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.4	5.9
	1.4	4.22	6.34
	1.91	3.62	3.57	Watch
	1.4	3.88	7.9	Watch
	1.94	3.1	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.9)	3.64 ↑ (3.1)	5.47 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportist Svoge
57.2%

Draw
25.7%

Spartak Pleven
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.4%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

26.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportist Svoge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportist Svoge's performance.

Spartak Pleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Pleven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportist Svoge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Pleven than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Pleven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportist Svoge - Spartak Pleven Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Debarliev P. (G) 21. Bastunov A. 23. Bua 9. Gelin N. 16. Georgiev S. 22. Ivanov G. 15. Kirilov S. 5. Kolev M. 17. Slavkov S. 6. Terziev R. 10. Todorov T.	30. Tugay I. (G) 7. Al Badarin M. 24. Antonov P. 21. Gospodinov P. 16. Ivanov I. 6. Ivanov V. 9. Nikolaev I. 11. Petkov H. 20. Spasov P. 26. Stoyanov D. 4. Trifonov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
11', 🟨,
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 🟥,
53', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
82', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svoge won 3.

Svoge has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Spartak Pleven's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spartak Pleven may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Svoge might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Svoge won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Svoge won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.09.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Minyor Pernik - Sportist Svoge	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Sportist Svoge - Yantra Gabrovo	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Fratria - Sportist Svoge	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Sportist Svoge - Sevlievo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- PFC Spartak Pleven
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.09.25	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Spartak Pleven	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Spartak Pleven - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Spartak Pleven	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Spartak Pleven - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.02.25	Spartak Pleven - Sportist Svoge	0:1
11.08.24	Sportist Svoge - Spartak Pleven	0:0
20.04.24	Spartak Pleven - Sportist Svoge	0:1
02.10.23	Sportist Svoge - Spartak Pleven	1:0
23.04.23	Spartak Pleven - Sportist Svoge	3:0
17.09.22	Sportist Svoge - Spartak Pleven	3:2

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