Match Info

Primera C - Round 4

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Sportivo Barracas		Lugano

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.98	3.25
	2.15	2.98	3.3
	1.34	4.54	8.36	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.18	2.88	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.18)	3.24 ↑ (2.91)	4.32 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Barracas
48%

Draw
29.7%

Lugano
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

31.2%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

31.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Barracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Barracas's performance.

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Barracas than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Barracas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Sportivo Barracas - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Santa Cruz I. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Santa Cruz I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', Calo A. 🟥,
90+4', 3 - 0, Perrota T. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Barracas won 2.

Sportivo Barracas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lugano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sportivo Barracas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Barracas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Barracas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Barracas
Argentinian Primera C
05.04.26	Sportivo Barracas - Central Ballester	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	El Porvenir - Sportivo Barracas	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Sportivo Barracas	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera C
16.03.26	Sportivo Barracas - Fénix	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - Sportivo Barracas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW
- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
04.04.26	Lugano - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Centro Español - Lugano	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Lugano - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Lugano	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Lugano - Sacachispas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
16.09.24	Sportivo Barracas - Lugano	2:1
14.04.24	Lugano - Sportivo Barracas	0:0
Argentinian Primera D
30.10.23	Sportivo Barracas - Lugano	3:2
16.07.23	Lugano - Sportivo Barracas	0:0
28.05.23	Sportivo Barracas - Lugano	1:3
15.08.22	Sportivo Barracas - Lugano	2:1
29.05.22	Lugano - Sportivo Barracas	0:1

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