Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 6

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Sportivo Carapeguá		12 de Junio

	1	X	2
	3.05	3	2.18
	3.01	3.15	2.2
	3.26	3.02	2.32	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.11	3.02	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.26)	3.02 (3.02)	2.23 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Carapeguá
29.2%

Draw
30.1%

12 de Junio
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

31%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

30%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

12 de Junio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 12 de Junio than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Sportivo Carapeguá - 12 de Junio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
42', 0 - 1, Yudis F. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Valdez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 3, Yudis F. ⚽,
84', 1 - 3, Aquino M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de Primera (Apertura: )).

Carapeguá is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

12 de Junio is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

12 de Junio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carapeguá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Carapeguá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	12 de Junio	27	14	8	5	36:27	9	50
7	Sp. Carapegua	27	11	6	10	32:39	-7	39

Last Results with these Odds

12 de Junio - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.32%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
02.05.26	Encarnación - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Santaní	1:0 ✺
21.04.26	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - 3 de Noviembre	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Carapeguá	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWWWL
- Club 12 de Junio
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
01.05.26	Paraguarí - 12 de Junio	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	12 de Junio - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
20.04.26	Deportivo Santaní - 12 de Junio	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	12 de Junio - Fernando de la Mora	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	3 de Noviembre - 12 de Junio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.07.25	12 de Junio - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:0
30.03.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - 12 de Junio	1:0
05.10.24	12 de Junio - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:2
30.06.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - 12 de Junio	1:1

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